Tom Thurgood shares his ideas for Monday’s motion because the Galway Pageant will get beneath method with the Qatar Goodwood Pageant to comply with on Tuesday. Keep on with us for a incredible week stay on Racing TV!
Two from Ayr earlier than the Galway characteristic
3.05 Ayr: See My Child Jive
The seven-year-old bids for a outstanding four-timer over course and distance within the house of three weeks and he has his circumstances to exit and do it.
See My Child Jive appears like he nonetheless has extra to supply, along with his working fashion actually a assist right here since he could be a bit awkward early on and considerably outpaced earlier than invariably discovering strongly on the end. His outstanding first win to kick off his present sequence is actually value watching once more!
The bottom right here may even intensify his strong-finishing qualities, with circumstances described nearly as good to gentle, good in locations on Sunday morning with the prospect of heavy rain on Monday morning. See My Child Jive acts properly on floor with give underfoot.
He is additionally capable of function in the identical grade as latest wins and he nonetheless receives weight from a number of of his rivals on this 0-65 contest. There may be some tempo on right here however this won’t be as strongly-run early on as his latest wins and which may simply assist him to journey a bit higher, whereas he has already crushed 5 of those rivals and there should not many new contenders this time that look a real risk. The type of his penultimate win obtained a little bit of a lift whereas he beat a really well-backed Irish raider final time.
Coach Donal Whillans has a notable document at Ayr and significantly in course handicaps (19 from 98 since 2010; +£71, 1.53 A/E) and his thriving performer and season’s star can proceed the great work.
4:15 Ayr: Chriszoff
This five-runner characteristic has loads of eager racers who prefer to get on with issues however Chriszoff confirmed that he may race extra amenably final time and this sturdy finisher can land the four-timer.
He isn’t appeared the smoothest traveller to date however this lightly-raced improver is getting higher on that rating and he finishes to good impact, most notably in victory over course and distance final time the place he didn’t look greatest positioned a couple of furlongs from house.
He appears high-enough weighted on his type, however I don’t suppose that may have the largest bearing right here as the 2 runners on the backside of the handicap face one thing of a thankless job at these weights whereas Knockbrex simply hasn’t completed his races off this season. His status is based on that eye-catching handicap debut on the Ebor Pageant, however the sectionals recommend he didn’t ‘earn’ his gentle lead and he emptied considerably within the last three furlongs, as he subsequently has accomplished at Ascot and Newmarket. Paddy The Squire is attention-grabbing and can deal with softer floor, however I might be keener on him at a mile and a half.
Chriszoff has been ably assisted by good jockeys to date but Hollie Doyle taking on for the primary time makes additional enchantment for a yard that’s seven from 20 (plus three seconds and two thirds) in Flat handicaps right here. Any 11-10 or greater would enchantment in regards to the seemingly favorite.
Two for the day-one spotlight at Galway
6.40 Galway: Teed Up and Scaramanga
The €100,000 spotlight on day one of many Galway Pageant is a race I look out for and, with some quibbles about most of this yr’s 20-runner discipline on what may very well be pretty testing floor, the worth may lie in direction of the pinnacle of the market in a race which is perhaps huge on numbers however smaller on sturdy probabilities and Teed Up is tough to kick out of the shake-up.
He is gone properly on the Galway Pageant twice earlier than for among the finest goal trainers round and he is formed properly on latest begins, firstly along with his career-best within the November Handicap at Doncaster late final yr earlier than an eye catching return at Tramore final time (races usually a check of pace on the journey there besides) in what was certainly a seasonal return with a view to Galway.
The most important factor going for him right here is his assured stamina and the truth that he’ll go on floor which may very well be fairly testing. His rider has not ridden many winners (18 from 325 rides) however he charges as one of many extra skilled jockeys right here (first trip beneath Guidelines in 2011) and with that in thoughts his 7lb declare is not an obstacle.
The bottom is a priority for Scaramanga, however he is nonetheless value an each-way curiosity on the normal 11-1 and 12-1 – by no means thoughts greater double-figure quotes – for Monday’s huge race.
He is an eight-year-old however solely lightly-raced for Willie Mullins – simply 4 begins for Closutton after being moved from Paul Nicholls – and Scaramanga travelled properly into the straight at an enormous value within the County Hurdle with real 140-rated handicappers on the Cheltenham Pageant in March, whereas his newest success – in America in Grade One firm – could not quantity to a lot when it comes to real type however Mullins has beforehand despatched high-class horses Shaneshill and Nichols Canyon to that race in recent times.
Scaramanga appears essentially the most interesting right here strictly in termsof profile for this particular check for this yard, which has a extra choose squad (4 runners) tis the yard right here this yr, with Mullins having received the race 4 occasions within the final six years and his 24 whole runners priced 25-1 or decrease in that point hitting the locations 50% of the time.
Jody Townend is an asset within the saddle and, with stamina assured, he appears a bit underestimated at this pretty early stage.
King bids to get again within the groove
7.15 Galway: Rhythm King
The highest 9 runners are separated by simply 4lb within the weights right here and which may simply assist Rhythm King make a daring bid beneath 9st 13lb on this compressed handicap with optimum floor circumstances besides.
Rhythm King handles heavy floor whereas he additionally has type over a mile, so the seven furlongs and stiff end right here ought to see him to respectable impact in a discipline the place they may feasibly be pretty properly drawn out on the flip for house.
He isn’t been seen for 89 days and that is perhaps a priority, however he has received after a break earlier than (on seasonal return this yr) whereas coach Mark Fahey has a strong document with runners returning after 90 days or extra on the Flat since 2010 (14%, +£5.50, 2.06 A/E).
The steady has been ticking alongside properly from small numbers too, with the yard performing above market expectation all through the entire of 2023 and Fahey is three from 11 (one other positioned) throughout each codes this month, with the three winners all coming contained in the final two and a half weeks.
Fahey has been coaching winners for a decade now however has not run many on the Galway Pageant historically, although he is despatched out a winner and a runner-up from 4 Flat runners on the assembly, with three of these contenders in races confined to horses rated 80 or beneath like this one. There’s an opportunity that Rhyhtm King might need been saved for this.